Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.139148 0.163819 0.191400 0.224495 0.263103 0.306700 0.359649
2025-10-26 0.101937 0.133512 0.172535 0.224206 0.290733 0.373411 0.483881
2025-11-02 0.078373 0.111227 0.154999 0.217383 0.303800 0.419063 0.584258
2025-11-09 0.061536 0.093364 0.138501 0.206865 0.307441 0.449589 0.665322
2025-11-16 0.052064 0.083699 0.131047 0.206614 0.323685 0.497543 0.774595
2025-11-23 0.043535 0.073768 0.121285 0.200805 0.329872 0.530264 0.863881
2025-11-30 0.038739 0.068840 0.118283 0.204632 0.350767 0.586872 0.995598
2025-12-07 0.034129 0.063416 0.113552 0.204670 0.364999 0.633796 1.116273
2025-12-14 0.029534 0.057262 0.106632 0.199817 0.369940 0.665290 1.213835
2025-12-21 0.026279 0.053030 0.102446 0.199080 0.381677 0.709163 1.337001
2025-12-28 0.024505 0.051323 0.102591 0.206190 0.408282 0.781779 1.519074
2026-01-04 0.023286 0.050517 0.104285 0.216354 0.441618 0.869844 1.738679
2026-01-11 0.021427 0.048305 0.103282 0.221799 0.467903 0.950266 1.958420
2026-01-18 0.019248 0.045109 0.099917 0.222139 0.484355 1.014255 2.155085
2026-01-25 0.016763 0.040825 0.093645 0.215443 0.485294 1.047279 2.292938
2026-02-01 0.014350 0.036298 0.086173 0.205022 0.476773 1.059607 2.388730
2026-02-08 0.012987 0.034034 0.083425 0.204774 0.490474 1.120139 2.594291
2026-02-15 0.011443 0.031063 0.078605 0.199015 0.490848 1.151606 2.739276
2026-02-22 0.010648 0.029867 0.077842 0.202810 0.513911 1.236017 3.013090
2026-03-01 0.009732 0.028200 0.075679 0.202847 0.527926 1.301218 3.249666
2026-03-08 0.008680 0.025987 0.071816 0.198036 0.529347 1.336995 3.420395
2026-03-15 0.007932 0.024503 0.069641 0.197306 0.540963 1.398429 3.660231
2026-03-22 0.007582 0.024114 0.070341 0.204354 0.573628 1.515057 4.050059